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Futurism
Futures studies or foresight (previously known as futurology) is the study of postulating possible, probable, and preferable futures and the worldviews and myths that underlay them. — Wikipedia (2010)

15/10/17

China – the biggest paradigm shift in a century?

By Steen Jakobsen, Chief Economist & CIO / Saxo Bank The 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China starts next week It will be the single biggest event this year, of unprecedented significance Xi will cement his position … Continue reading

21/09/17

Buy Oil With Gold-Backed Currency—Bypassing US Petrodollars

In a second ground shaking move in a week, China has moved to introduce yuan denominated oil futures contracts. Settlement may be in yuan or gold. This has huge long term ramifications for the US dollar as world’s reserve currency. … Continue reading

21/09/17

German Federal Election 2017 Outcome

Germany’s Federal election 2017, is due to be held this Sunday 24th September. It could prove illuminating about the political fortunes of Germany and the EU at large. Don’t hold your breath however. It looks like more of the same. … Continue reading

20/09/17

Financial Markets Update 20092017

The US Federal Reserve concludes its two day meeting later today. It’s timely to recap where we are with market activity and our long term picture we call The End of the Long Game 2009-2018. The Fed will be signalling … Continue reading

15/09/17

The Coming Four D’s

Over the last 17 years we have witnessed an increasing loss of confidence by voters in liberal democratic governments around the world. The 17 years have truly exposed the fact that politicians have personal agendas beyond serving the needs of … Continue reading

11/09/17

The Coming Four D’s

Emerging Events examines The Coming Four D’s where Deleveraging, Deregulation, Deflation and Decentralization become the driving forces of change in liberal-democratic nations around the world. The article focuses on Australia which exemplifies many of the problems liberal-democratic nations face today. … Continue reading

07/09/17

BitCoin Prediction

Bitcoin is completing its final consolidation phase prior to a final blow off move. The market for Bitcoin has risen in a parabolic pattern (think 1929 US stock market, Tulip Bulb Craze, Gold in 1980). In chart terms this leads … Continue reading

21/06/17

Ray Kurzweil Predicts Technology Will End Nation States

 Countries Are Over By Dyani Sabin The age of individual countries is over, says futurist Ray Kurzweil. In a video posted to Kurzweil’s Singularity University Youtube account, the Google-employed futurist talks about how technology has already started to merge the … Continue reading

19/06/17

Political Risk 2 – Reflections

We reported (04/06/2017) prior to the UK General Election 2017: There is a minor risk of a hung parliament where, like 2010, the new government may have to collaborate to hold office. This would make managing the Brexit process untenable. The … Continue reading

16/06/17

Making Humans a Multiplanetary Species

Elon Musk’s vision on getting to live on Mars.

15/06/17

This is how Big Oil will die

Seth Miller Scientist, inventor, entrepreneur. Mostly just trying to understand the world. See my full blog at perspicacity.xyz. May 24  From WHMP / clipart.com It’s 2025, and 800,000 tons of used high strength steel is coming up for auction. The steel … Continue reading

10/06/17

How Small Events Trigger Large Events in Politics & Economics

The following video illustrates the power of small events to trigger large events. The Great Depression of 1929-33  was triggered, for example, by the default of a small bank in Austria called Creditanstalt. It declared bankruptcy on 11 May 1931 and was one … Continue reading

04/06/17

Political Risk in 2017-2018

In the UK, the conservatives it appears, will win a reduced majority to govern the UK and Brexit process. It is also clear that a loss or hung parliament  for the Conservatives will set the UK back a hundred years politically and economically … Continue reading

29/05/17

Late in the Cycle

You know where we are in the business cycle when you start receiving calls about multi-level marketing schemes or offshore stock brokers call to offer a “trade of a life-time”. Maybe its a property deal in outback Australia, or opportunities … Continue reading

24/05/17

US stocks to rally. Wait for It!

Since mid March 2017, US stock indices have been moving sideways in a slow meandering phase. There’s more to go before this phase completes. This sets up a pattern or determinacy that leads to a clear outcome and conclusion. You … Continue reading

05/05/17

Contrary Opinion and the French Elections

Going into the final round of the French Presidential election we see heavy media bias for Macron to win over Le Pen. Polls indicate Macron  should win by a comfortable margin. The Law of Contrary Opinion in 2016 had indicated … Continue reading

19/04/17

Australian Housing Affordability

Housing affordability is attracting the attention of politicians as concern rises that a housing bubble has made homes too expensive. So far, none of the discussions have really addressed the problems. Several key points can be made here from a … Continue reading

13/03/17

US Stocks for March 2017

We anticipate US stocks have entered a consolidation phase lasting a minimum of  several months. Stocks have performed strongly off the back of the Presidential election. This has served to clarify where things are heading. Any short term ambiguity has … Continue reading

05/02/17

Predictions 2017 – Be Ready

It’s all going to go rather quickly from here. We list our predictions for 2017 and beyond as crisis presents both opportunity and danger. Political confidence and will eroding in the USA and other liberal democratic countries. In the US, … Continue reading

27/11/16

US Stocks Update 25/11/2016

We have reached an interesting juncture with this US stocks update. In the next few trading days – maybe as early as Monday 28/11, we anticipate stocks to open higher and then reverse to the downside. Failure to follow through … Continue reading